WSL relegation battle: Who will finish bottom based on reverse fixtures?

Detailed view of the logo on the Barclays FA Women's Super League trophy (Photo by Catherine Ivill/Getty Images)

As we come to the last few games in the regular season, we look at which teams could be looking at relegation from the Women’s Super League.

Some of these squads are safer than others, but with the wild way the WSL has been shaping up this year, anything could happen.

We’ve taken a look at each team that could mathematically still be relegated and focused on their upcoming matches. Using the points won in the reverse fixtures earlier this season, we’ve calculated how the bottom of the WSL table would look.

Who could be relegated from the WSL?

7th — West Ham (23 points)

West Ham currently sits eighth in the table with 17 points and four matches left in the season. They are not likely to fall, but they do have a strong schedule left.

In their reverse fixtures against these opponents, the Irons picked up three points against both Leicester and Spurs. They fell to Brighton and Chelsea. Using those results, West Ham would finish on 23 points, keeping them safe.

Kate Longhurst of West Ham United celebrates in front of a TV camera
Kate Longhurst of West Ham United celebrates in front of a TV camera after scoring against Tottenham Hotspur on 16 January 2022. (Photo by Alex Davidson/Getty Images)

West Ham reverse fixtures (6 points won)

  • West Ham 4-5 Brighton
  • Chelsea 3-1 West Ham
  • West Ham 1-0 Leicester City
  • Spurs 0-2 West Ham

8th — Liverpool (22 points)

The Reds started off the season on a high note, with a shocking victory over title-holders Chelsea. Since then, they have endured their share of injuries and have fallen to the bottom half of the table.

Based on reverse fixtures, they are looking at picking up just three points to finish at 22. However, those three points would have to come in a road win at Chelsea — no mean feat. A vital win against Brighton last week should provide Liverpool the space they need to stay up.

Liverpool’s reverse fixtures (3 points won)

  • Leicester City 0-1 Liverpool
  • Liverpool 2-1 Chelsea
  • Man City 2-1 Liverpool
  • Liverpool 0-1 Aston Villa
  • Man United 6-0 Liverpool

9th — Brighton & Hove Albion (18 points)

CRAWLEY, ENGLAND – APRIL 19: Elisabeth Terland of Brighton in action during the FA Women’s Super League match between Brighton & Hove Albion and Everton FC at Broadfield Stadium on April 19, 2023 in Crawley, England. (Photo by Mike Hewitt/Getty Images)

Of the teams in the dreaded relegation zone, Brighton have scored the most goals. Unfortunately, they have also conceded the most goals by far of any team in the WSL — they will have to tighten up that defence.

In the reverse fixtures, the Seagulls picked up full points against West Ham and Everton. Although, they were shut out by Spurs, Arsenal, and Leicester City. If these scenarios play out again, the Seagulls would finish with 18 points.

Brighton reverse fixtures (6 points won)

  • Brighton 0-8 Spurs
  • West Ham 4-5 Brighton
  • Arsenal 4-0 Brighton
  • Brighton 3-2 Everton
  • Leicester 3-0 Brighton

10th — Tottenham Hotspur (16 points)

Tottenham have certainly been an enigma this season. They have shown sheer dominance in some matches, and been outclassed in others.

Going off of reverse fixtures, they would pick up full points against Brighton, but would lose against Man United, Reading and West Ham.

Spurs are the only side without a draw this season, and the six points would have them finish on 16, avoiding relegation from the WSL.

Spurs reverse fixtures (3 points won)

  • Brighton 0-8 Spurs
  • Spurs 1-2 Man United
  • Reading 1-0 Spurs
  • Spurs 0-2 West Ham

11th — Leicester City (16 points)

While currently at the bottom of the table, reverse fixtures give the Foxes hope that they will avoid another WSL relegation.

Against their five remaining opponents, Leicester has two wins in reverse results. They topped Liverpool and Brighton, but fell to Arsenal, Chelsea, and West Ham. If they can pick up six points, they would finish with 16 for the season, just behind Spurs on goal difference.

Leicester reverse fixtures (6 points won)

  • Liverpool 0-1 Leicester
  • Leicester 0-4 Arsenal
  • Leicester 0-8 Chelsea
  • West Ham 1-0 Leicester
  • Leicester 3-0 Brighton

12th — Reading (14 points)

Someone has to fall, and the reverse fixture storyline says that this season, it’s Reading.

The Royals are currently one point ahead of Leicester with four matches to play. However, they have not done well against their remaining opponents. In the remaining reverse fixtures, Reading picked up just three points in a win over Spurs.

They dropped their matches to City, Villa, and Chelsea. That single victory would leave them at 14 points, leading to their WSL relegation.

Reading reverse fixtures (3 points won)

  • Reading 0-3 Man City
  • Aston Villa 3-1 Reading
  • Reading 1-0 Spurs
  • Chelsea 3-2 Reading

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